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2024-12-14 10:00:16

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Ha Sanlian: Four kinds of drugs are planned to win the bid for national centralized procurement. Ha Sanlian announced that the company and its wholly-owned subsidiary Lanxi Pharmaceutical participated in the tenth batch of national centralized procurement of drugs organized by the state. The company's esmolol hydrochloride injection, pentoxifylline injection, potassium chloride injection, and tandospirone citrate tablets of Lanxi Pharmaceutical intend to win the bid for this centralized procurement. If the subsequent purchase contract is signed and implemented, it will help to expand the sales of related products and improve the market share and brand influence. The prices of the above-mentioned drugs are respectively 1.34 yuan for esmolol hydrochloride injection, 0.59 yuan for pentoxifylline injection, 0.16 yuan for potassium chloride injection and 6.56 yuan for tandospirone citrate tablets.Keshun Co., Ltd. and others set up a new building materials company in Jiangmen. The enterprise search APP shows that Jiangmen Yinzhou Lake Keshun Building Materials Co., Ltd. was established recently, with Feng Bihua as the legal representative and a registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of photovoltaic equipment and components; Manufacturing of eco-environmental materials; Water pollution prevention and control services, etc. Enterprise investigation shows that the company is jointly held by Keshun and others.


Today, Shengguang Group bought 170 million yuan and sold 171 million yuan at the daily limit, with a turnover of 6.558 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.239%. After-hours data show that the special seats of Shenzhen Stock Connect bought 170 million yuan and sold 171 million yuan.The concept of robot bottomed out and Tianqi shares rose linearly, and Tianqi shares rose linearly. Before that, the construction industry went out of 9 boards in 10 days, Astar went out of 13 boards in 21 days, and Tongda Power went up. Hanyu Group, Maihe, Jiangsu Reilly, Hanwei Technology and Best were among the top gainers.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.


The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)On the 13th, the No.20 rubber fell by 2.05%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract No.20 rubber 2502 was closed, with a turnover of 159,100 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 5,142 lots. A total of 205,200 lots were traded in the No.20 rubber futures contract, an increase of 8,176 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 84,200 lots, an increase of 812 lots over the previous day. Short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 94,500 lots, a decrease of 1,708 lots from the previous day. (Sina Futures)

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